Altamira vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
5 - 0
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
MER
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
ALT
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UAT
4 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
CAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAZ
69%
21%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
NEC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |