Altamira vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 0
DEL
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UAT
2 - 0
ALT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ALT
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 2
BAL
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
PAC
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
3 - 0
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ALT
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 3
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |