Alqueidão Serra vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALQ
3 - 2
CDT
14%
16%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALQ
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -4 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
PAT
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GDA
5 - 1
ALQ
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GON
3 - 0
ADM
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 2
BMA
7%
14%
80%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | +5 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ADM
89%
9%
3%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
AMA
8%
17%
75%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | -1 |