Alphense Boys vs Montfoort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
WES
4 - 0
ALP
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALP
2 - 1
NIE
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DEL
0 - 1
ALP
56%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALP
2 - 2
ELI
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 1
ALP
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SVZ
1 - 1
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DTS
0 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MON
2 - 5
NSC
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
XER
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |