Alphense Boys Sub 19 vs Willem II Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alphense Boys Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
VOL
2 - 2
APB
26%
20%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 4
APB
48%
20%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
APB
4 - 0
SVR
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FCE
0 - 3
APB
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
APB
4 - 3
VVV
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VVV
1 - 2
WIL
75%
15%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
30%
24%
47%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 1
GRO
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 0
WIL
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |