CFU Championship Last 16
Global 1-3
Alpha United vs Tempête analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 3
DON
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
TEM
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
TEM
3 - 1
GON
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 2
TEM
40%
29%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ASM
3 - 0
TEM
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |