CFU Championship Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Alpha United vs River Plate Puerto Rico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
66.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ROU
0 - 0
AUN
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2010 |
AUN
2 - 1
MIL
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 2
AUN
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AUN
3 - 0
BUX
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TXX
0 - 3
AUN
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Puerto Rico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 4
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
SFC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
BOD
1 - 0
RIV
15%
19%
66%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOD
85%
10%
4%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PRI
0 - 2
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |