Alpha United vs Guyana Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUN
1 - 1
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VKI
2 - 3
AUN
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AUN
1 - 0
SEA
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
2 - 1
GUY
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
3 - 2
MIL
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guyana Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 2
WBC
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 1
ROU
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 0
LIG
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
AUN
2 - 1
GUY
55%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
GUY
3 - 0
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |