Alpha United vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
72%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 1
GUY
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
RIS
0 - 6
AUN
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
AUN
78%
16%
6%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | -4 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 0
DEF
12%
17%
72%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
AUN
7 - 1
SAN
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
HNP
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
OLI
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 1
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |