Alpendorada vs Uniao Lamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+105%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
10º
10º
32
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 56 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 49 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 45 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 11 |
14º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
40.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 0
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
REG
1 - 1
ALP
17%
18%
65%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
GON
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 0
ALP
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Uniao Lamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GON
2 - 1
UNI
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
COI
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |