Alpendorada vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 1
ALP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
VAL
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |