Alpendorada vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
49
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
GON
3 - 1
ALP
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 1
ALP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
VAL
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LUS
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
LUS
31%
29%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |