Alpendorada vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
13º
11º
47
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALP
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 2
ACA
6%
13%
82%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 2
LAV
49%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 3
BMA
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
BMA
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 6
BMA
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
BMA
1 - 0
FIA
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |