Alpendorada vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
81.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 2
LAV
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 0
ALP
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
INF
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 3
ALP
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALP
2 - 1
VIL
27%
23%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
ESA
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LEX
2 - 1
ACA
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |