Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Alondras CF vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
FIS
1 - 1
ALO
40%
28%
32%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
ALO
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
ALO
2 - 2
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
ALO
2 - 2
CLU
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
GRA
40%
28%
32%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
ALO
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
LAL
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
46%
27%
27%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
FIS
2 - 0
GRA
43%
28%
29%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |