Almudévar vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CFA
1 - 1
CFV
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
CFA
37%
26%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CFA
3 - 1
UFC
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AND
2 - 3
CFA
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CFA
3 - 0
FRA
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 3
TER
22%
25%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ICF
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 0
EJE
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CUA
1 - 3
ICF
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 1
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |