Almudévar vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CFV
1 - 1
CFA
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CFA
2 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CDC
2 - 2
CFA
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CFA
0 - 2
TER
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAB
0 - 0
CFA
29%
25%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
ICF
25%
24%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
FRA
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
TAR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
EJE
3 - 1
FRA
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CFV
0 - 3
FRA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |