Almudévar vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 1
CFA
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CFA
4 - 0
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 4
CFA
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CFA
1 - 1
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
CFA
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
TER
17%
24%
60%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ZAR
5 - 0
FRA
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 3
EJE
26%
25%
50%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
CUA
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
FRA
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |