Almudévar vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
0 - 0
CFA
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CFA
1 - 1
BIN
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ROB
1 - 2
CFA
41%
25%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CFA
1 - 1
SAN
67%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CFB
1 - 0
CFA
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 2
UFC
16%
22%
62%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAB
4 - 0
UDC
64%
20%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
TAM
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SJU
1 - 1
UDC
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UDC
0 - 1
ICF
17%
22%
61%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |