Almudévar vs Brea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almudévar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CUA
1 - 1
CFA
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CFA
4 - 0
TAM
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 2
CFA
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CFA
4 - 1
TAR
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AND
1 - 0
CFA
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 0
SDB
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
CFB
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 3
CDE
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
CFB
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 1
UFC
33%
26%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |