Almoradí vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NUD
2 - 0
ALM
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
ALM
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 3
CAM
54%
23%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
ALM
30%
24%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 2
NOV
31%
23%
45%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
UEC
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MUT
1 - 1
NOV
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIJ
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
6 - 2
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |