Almodôvar vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almodôvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
QUA
4 - 2
ALM
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 2
COV
11%
20%
69%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 0
ALM
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
NIN
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 2
FER
18%
21%
60%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
3 - 0
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
PED
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
QUA
3 - 0
LAG
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 1
COV
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |