Almirante Brown vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
ATT
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
INS
1 - 1
ALM
54%
29%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 1
BUC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
IRV
1 - 0
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAU
2 - 3
DYJ
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 1
CAU
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 2
GIM
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
CAU
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
TFE
0 - 2
CAU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |