Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
21%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
INS
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
ALM
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ALM
2 - 0
MIT
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
DAL
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 1
SUA
67%
22%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
RIE
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
SUA
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 1
ALB
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |