Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
AND
1 - 3
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 1
FLA
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
STM
0 - 0
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 0
ARM
70%
21%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
STM
0 - 3
SUA
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ARM
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
SUA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 0
SUA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |