Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TAL
2 - 1
ALM
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 2
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
ALM
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 2
JJU
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CAD
3 - 1
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SUA
3 - 0
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
SUA
1 - 3
ALB
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
STM
0 - 0
SUA
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
SUA
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
UAI
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |