Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
ALM
54%
27%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
TAL
21%
25%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALM
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ALM
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 2
SMG
46%
27%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 1
SUA
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
SUA
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 3
SMG
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SUA
1 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
SUA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |