Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALM
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 0
ESP
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
ALM
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
29%
29%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
BRO
44%
29%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
0 - 2
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 3
SUA
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 0
COL
69%
21%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 0
ATL
49%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 2
SUA
25%
29%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |