Almirante Brown vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATT
4 - 3
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 3
OLI
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
ALM
28%
29%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ALM
3 - 1
BAN
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 1
ALM
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 1
IRV
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
OLI
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
PAT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |