Almirante Brown vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATL
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIT
3 - 2
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
EST
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
4 - 2
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
MIT
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
GBR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |