Almirante Brown vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
43%
31%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
GLP
41%
30%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 0
ALM
50%
27%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 0
DES
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALM
43%
31%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
INS
3 - 0
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
INS
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
GIM
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
RIV
32%
31%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 4
INS
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |