Almirante Brown vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 0
TEM
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
ALM
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
EST
44%
31%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 1
IRV
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
IRV
1 - 0
DAL
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 1
IRV
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IRV
2 - 1
RAF
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
IRV
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |