Almirante Brown vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
SMA
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ALM
64%
24%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
ALM
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DYJ
0 - 0
ALM
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 1
BUC
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
IRV
3 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
IRV
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
IRV
0 - 1
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |