Almirante Brown vs Fénix Bs As analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALM
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
UAI
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
VSC
2 - 1
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
COM
33%
28%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
ALM
52%
27%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix Bs As
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 2
STM
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
FEN
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 1
FEN
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
RIE
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |