Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
5 - 5
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
ALM
47%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 2
ALM
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
FEN
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
ALM
23%
29%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MER
0 - 4
CHA
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 2
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
3 - 2
MER
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |