Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 1
ALM
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
3 - 0
ALM
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
ALM
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
UAI
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
ARM
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 0
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
MER
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
COL
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |