Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
ALM
60%
25%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
GLP
30%
30%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
4 - 2
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
GIM
48%
29%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DYJ
1 - 1
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
IRV
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 2
MER
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
ATT
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
MER
73%
19%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |