Almirante Brown vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 0
ALM
34%
29%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
EST
44%
30%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
3 - 3
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
ALM
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
CHI
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAI
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
3 - 2
ATL
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MIT
3 - 1
MAI
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 0
EST
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |