Almirante Brown vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 1
SAC
73%
19%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
COL
2 - 1
ALM
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FEN
0 - 2
ALM
28%
30%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALM
3 - 2
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARM
3 - 2
FEN
35%
28%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
UAI
2 - 1
ARM
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ARM
0 - 3
TAL
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 0
ARM
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
ARM
89%
10%
2%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |