Almirante Brown vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CDN
0 - 2
ALM
31%
30%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 3
DHA
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
INS
2 - 3
ALM
47%
30%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
IRV
3 - 0
ALM
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ARM
3 - 1
COM
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
ATL
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CCO
0 - 2
ARM
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
ALM
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |