Almirante Brown vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
ALM
37%
33%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
CDN
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DHA
1 - 1
ALM
32%
31%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
INS
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
IRV
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 3
IRV
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
4 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 5
ATT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
4 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |