Almirante Brown vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 1
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 0
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALM
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SUA
0 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COL
2 - 4
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 1
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
FEN
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
UAI
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |