Almirante Brown vs Chacarita Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
ALM
44%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
IRV
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALV
44%
30%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
MIT
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
ALV
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
QUI
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |