Almirante Brown vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 2
ALM
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
55%
28%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
ALM
60%
25%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
GLP
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
4 - 2
ALM
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
IRV
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
BUC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
ATT
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |