Almería vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CCF
4 - 1
ALM
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 3
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
ALM
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
4 - 1
PON
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALM
19%
23%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
5 - 2
FCB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPO
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
GIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 2
ELC
54%
26%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |