Almería vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
XER
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 5
ALM
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALM
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 4
ALM
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
FCB
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
RMC
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
REC
2 - 2
RMC
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 5
RMC
13%
20%
67%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
RMC
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |