Almería vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 2
ELC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 3
ALM
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
ALM
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
CCF
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REC
0 - 0
FCB
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
REC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
REC
1 - 0
HER
37%
30%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
REC
0 - 1
DEP
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |