Almería vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
GET
4 - 2
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 1
BET
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALM
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SEV
1 - 4
ALM
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
VIL
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
REC
0 - 2
VIL
28%
27%
46%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ATM
3 - 0
REC
63%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
REC
2 - 0
LEV
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ZAR
3 - 0
REC
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
REC
2 - 2
FCB
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |