Almería vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 0
ALM
12%
22%
66%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
XER
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 5
ALM
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 3
ALM
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 2
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
HUE
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CCF
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |