Almería vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
RAY
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OVI
2 - 0
ALM
32%
29%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAD
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
SEV
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 4
MAL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
RAY
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 1
RAY
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RAY
0 - 0
VAD
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ELC
2 - 1
RAY
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 5
RAY
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |